2015 Season results for East Mountain (BV,4-4A)

49   12   4
Rank in
State, Class, District
890     -199
Strength     Momentum
936   40.6(56)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  7W   11L   2T 
District  0W   5L   1T 
Expected  14:   3+   3- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/18/15 Socorro 0.0001040L 0- 6 Expected (-5) 651 29%
08/21/15 at Monte del Sol 0.000844T 2- 2 Worse (0) 877 55%
08/22/15 Hatch 0.0001052L 0- 1 Expected (0) 911 27%
08/22/15 Silver 0.000870W 2- 1 Expected (+1) 920 57%
08/25/15 at Monte del Sol 0.000844W 2- 0 Expected (+2) 977 55%
08/31/15 at Socorro 0.0001040L 1- 7 Expected (-4) 671 24%
09/05/15 Santa Fe Prep !! 0.0021111W 4- 3 Better (+3)1041 19%
09/10/15 Gallup 0.002579W 7- 1 Expected (+3)1029 90%
09/15/15 Robertson 0.010872W 4- 1 Expected (+3)1022 56%
09/17/15 at Hatch 0.0161052L 1- 3 Expected (0) 881 22%
09/24/15 at Ruidoso 0.047950L 2- 3 Expected (0) 880 36%
09/29/15 Hatch 0.0681052L 0- 3 Expected (-2) 811 27%
10/03/15 NMMI ? 0.068909L 1- 6 Worse (-5) 637 50%
10/06/15 Bernalillo 0.173884L 0- 2 Worse (-2) 777 54%
10/09/15 at Portales 0.222936L 0- 3 Expected (-2) 772 39%
10/13/15 Bloomfield 0.370729W 3- 2 Expected (-1) 850 78%
10/15/15 at NMMI ?? 0.187909L 2- 8 Expected (-6) 605 43%
10/19/15 Ruidoso 0.420950L 2- 5 Expected (-3) 760 43%
10/22/15 Rehoboth Christian ! 0.6611003W 3- 2 Better (+2) 987 34%
10/24/15 Portales 0.732936T 1- 1 Better (0) 903 45%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals East Mountain actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 936, while
East Mountain's "weighted playing strength" is 851
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)

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